Why Opposition May Not Win The Upcoming Election

I know I have not been blogging enough about political issues in Malaysia but as a rule of thumb, I always try to refrain from commenting on the ongoings of Malaysia politics even though I have many sources who do tell me things even before they happened. Let’s say Malaysia community can be very small when it comes to such issues.

But with the upcoming general election looming around the corner and it is a matter of weeks before we get to put a big CROSS on the ballot paper, let us look at some of the things that has happened in Malaysia in recent months and weeks.

Let’s do the most sensitive one of them all. The HINDRAF movement. The idea behind HINDRAF is rather reasonable. But the execution in my opinion is not that great. And the fact that they realise how much publicity they have gained by having the police force to water cannon them, they planned a second one. When people says Badawi should not have use ISA against the 5 leaders of HINDRAF, I am left to believe that he has no other choice. By saying this, allow me to qualify that I am not a pro-government supporter.

The HINDRAF movement did question racial issues which had been dividing Malaysia over its last 5 decades of independence. If it was allowed to continually escalate to even higher position, it may cause races within Malaysia to feel uneasy and perhaps in the worst scenario a racial riot will eventuate. The lawyers had a marching movement too not too long ago. The police did not do much to them. I supposed the police has their “different” standards in when to use counter measures and when not to OR perhaps they were under instruction from higher powers.

The recent timing of events were done with almost quartz precision. Lingam issues surfaced. HINDRAF. BERSIH. JeffOoi. Chua Soi Lek. Frankly, I do not like the way these issues are being conducted. It is conducted during the time where it will hurt the most. An opportunist, if you ask me.

Everyone knew the election had to be soon. But everyone thought it must be Anwar that the government is afraid of. I believe that is not so. There are quite a number of capable opposition leaders who has better standing with the community. Like Lim Kit Siang. Nik Aziz. These are the people whom the society has identify with. They work hard to fight the government because they feel the people deserve better. But Anwar fights for himself. He fights hoping to regain his power and his legacy. Do we want to help him?

Now let’s take a look at Barisan. Frankly, I feel one of the reason why it survive is that it has the coperation of different racial based parties who coperate with one another, whether for the benefit of the people, to run the country together. Rumours (unsubstantiate) says that perhaps in this coming new era, they may be a new second DPM who is not a malay as a gift to the non-malay parties for helping BN to win elections after elections. Now, Barisan may not be the best party to lead Malaysia, what about the opposition. They are just not united enough to fight Barisan. You can see how in certain places there are three way fight. I believe if the opposition wants to have some credibility and some strength is for them to unite. Perhaps PAS as the main Malay party, DAP focusing on Chinese issues, PKR as a party similar to Gerakan.

The nomination days is still a few days away, and the oppositions do have the ability to be united and to come to concensus that they will not have three way fight and to concentrate on fighting Barisan.

Let’s be honest, if we are mature as a society having a change in government is not as bad as one would imagine. Unless we downgrade ourselves to the apes society where if another party went up, we will riot until kingdom cum. Look at USA, UK and Australia, there are constant change in government but yet the country can operate smoothly. They are multiracial in the sense that the minority are still being taken care of.

Perhaps if Badawi is serious about changing the government (though it may not be easy) is to change the candidates. Get candidates who are willing to serve the people.

Now in conclusion, I believe Barisan will continue to retain the 2/3 majority though their lead over the opposition will be reduced.

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6 Responses to “Why Opposition May Not Win The Upcoming Election”


  1. 1 Azmeen Feb 17th, 2008 at 2:49 pm

    Agreed.

    Anwar is politically dead ages ago. The more he opens his mouth the more his psychotic side shows. He thinks Malaysia revolves around his ass; the fact is that he is virtually forgotten.

    Frankly though, I have more fun watching the US presidential nomination race rather than our own run up to the elections.

    All parties are basically doing the same old thing since 50 years ago.

    Probably Malaysia needs our own Obama.

  2. 2 donkey Feb 17th, 2008 at 3:05 pm

    jb is umno fotress

  3. 3 chris Feb 17th, 2008 at 3:38 pm

    The opposition will not win but at least we show the current govt that they should not oppress those who bring them to power..

  4. 4 as Feb 17th, 2008 at 4:20 pm

    nice one, not bias and straight to the fact

  5. 5 Fat4 Feb 17th, 2008 at 5:20 pm

    hey donkey, long time no see. Where you been?

    azmeen: it is impossible to find an Obama out of the opposition camp

    chris: exactly, I would forecast a reduction in majority which is a good show point to the government that the people can choose.

    as: thanks.

  6. 6 mahagraha Feb 17th, 2008 at 5:46 pm

    I agree with Fat4.

    Perhaps the title can be changed to:
    Why Opposition WILL Not Win The Upcoming Election